Tuesday, February 12, 2008

A Useful Phenomena! IFCN Wk 10 -Tue- Equity: $501.11

Followers of FirstStrike now have the rest of their week free. 5 trades and stoplosses taken in quick order. This is also a good time to mention a side benefit that this style of breakout trading can bring to a certain segment of trader.  

Maybe you!

Current Equity: $501.11

On Monday we got filled on the following FirstStrike trades:
  • eud/usd: SELL 1.4504, stop 1.4564. Had 23 pips of profit after entry.
  • gbp/jpy: SELL 208.05, stop 208.65. Had over 120 pips profit at one point!
  • gbp/usd: SELL 1.9422, stop 1.9482. Had 20 pips of profit after entry.
  • usd/chf: BUY 1.1043, stop 1.0983.  Had 3 pips of profit after entry.
  • usd/jpy: SELL 106.59, stop 107.19. Had 46 pips of profit after entry.
These trades have all been stopped out for 60 pips loss each.

A Useful Phenomena

If you check back at all the past trades made by FirstStrike usually more than 90% of them gain 10 - 20 pips before their protective stop gets hit. There are shorter-term traders who take advantage of this momentum effect.

Note that I am not recommending anyone to take up this style of trading, but to each their own. The reason these trades have such high reliability is because there is a lot of money looking for a direction to trade at the very beginning of the week. The follow through on Monday breakouts tends to be greater than most days of the week.

If you target 20 pips profit and keep the 60 pip stoploss-- the percentage of win level you need to beat to have a winning strategy is 75%. If you win more than 76% with this short term strategy over the long run--- you have a great winning strategy!!!  (Example: if you took breakouts with the 20 pip profit-target and 60 pip stoploss--and had an 80% hit-rate, you would average 4 pips a trade. Increase your hit-rate to 85% and you would then be gaining 8 pips per trade.)

To make it trading, you have to consider all possibilities! Check out your favorite trading method with the following tool--- fill in the appropriate boxes, it is simple.
Equity Curve Random Generator

Millions of dollars could have been saved by traders if they only used this simple device.

Have a good week.
Joel Rensink

PS: To receive the FREE! trading rules for the Infiniteyield Forex Challenge ($499 value) and the semi-monthly newsletter about this challenge, send an email to:
newsletter@infiniteyield.com and tell me which address you would like it sent.

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